{"id":1015,"date":"2025-03-24T14:58:32","date_gmt":"2025-03-24T14:58:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/u-s-could-run-out-of-cash-by-july-analysis-finds\/"},"modified":"2025-03-24T14:58:32","modified_gmt":"2025-03-24T14:58:32","slug":"u-s-could-run-out-of-cash-by-july-analysis-finds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/u-s-could-run-out-of-cash-by-july-analysis-finds\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Could Run Out of Cash by July, Analysis Finds"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The United States could run out of cash to continue paying its bills by mid-July if Congress does not take action to raise or suspend the nation\u2019s debt limit, according to an analysis on Monday by the Bipartisan Policy Center.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That deadline, known as the \u201cX-date\u201d \u2014 the moment when the United States is unable to meet its financial obligations and might default on its debt \u2014 is a fiscal milestone that\u2019s among the most closely watched in Washington and on Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The date is subject to considerable uncertainty. It relies on estimates of how much wiggle room the Treasury has to use accounting maneuvers \u2014 known as \u201cextraordinary measures\u201d \u2014 to keep paying the government\u2019s bills by shifting money around. The Bipartisan Policy Center, a think tank, provided estimates suggesting that the X-date could come as late as the beginning of October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Efforts to address the debt limit will likely consume Congress and the Trump administration later this year as Republicans race to enact trillions of dollars of tax cuts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The debt limit is a cap on the total amount of money that the United States is authorized to borrow to fund the government and meet its financial obligations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Because the federal government runs budget deficits \u2014 meaning it spends more than it brings in through taxes and other revenue \u2014 it must borrow huge sums of money to pay its bills. Those obligations include funding for social safety net programs, salaries for members of the armed forces and paying investors who have bought U.S. government debt in exchange for interest payments.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">After a protracted fight, lawmakers agreed in June 2023 to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt limit until Jan. 1, 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The national debt is now approaching $37 trillion. Republicans have been cutting federal jobs at government agencies and expressed a commitment to curbing wasteful spending, but lawmakers have showed little appetite for cutting social safety net programs, which are the biggest drivers of the growing debt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cPolicymakers must commit to responsible budgeting, which starts with avoiding debt limit brinkmanship and its impacts on our economy,\u201d Margaret Spellings, the president of the Bipartisan Policy Center, said in a statement.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The analysis said that spending on disaster relief, the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/2025\/03\/22\/irs-tax-revenue-loss-federal-budget\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">pace of tax 2024 collections<\/a> and additional government revenue from Mr. Trump\u2019s tariffs could affect the timing of the X-date. Savings from cuts recommended by the new Department of Government Efficiency could also extend the deadline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Janet L. Yellen, the Treasury secretary under President Joseph R. Biden Jr., told Congress in mid-January that the Treasury Department would need to start using \u201cextraordinary measures\u201d on Jan. 21 to allow the United States to keep meeting its financial obligations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Those measures are essentially accounting maneuvers that can prevent the government from breaching the debt limit. They can include suspending certain types of investments in savings plans for government workers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">President Trump said last year, before taking office, that he thought the debt limit was a \u201ctrap\u201d set by Democrats and urged lawmakers to lift the borrowing cap or abolish it entirely.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed skepticism about abolishing the debt limit during his confirmation hearing in January. He said, however, that he would study the idea and potentially work with Democrats, many of whom have long said that the debt limit creates unnecessary risks, on changes to the cap. Mr. Bessent told Bloomberg News last month that he was <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-02-06\/treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-on-doge-taxes-tariffs-china-federal-reserve?srnd=undefined&amp;sref=zVYYYI5e&amp;embedded-checkout=true\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">discussing the matter with large holders of U.S. debt<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/system\/files\/136\/Debt-Limit-Letter_20250314_Johnson.pdf\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">In a letter to Congress this month<\/a>, Mr. Bessent said that he was continuing to deploy the measures set in motion by Ms. Yellen. Those included pausing some investments in the Civil Service and Retirement Disability Fund and the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The Treasury secretary said that he expected to provide an update in May on how long its cash would last and pointed to \u201cunavoidable uncertainty\u201d surrounding such forecasts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI respectfully urge Congress to act promptly to protect the full faith and credit of the United States,\u201d Mr. Bessent wrote.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">House Republicans <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/house-republicans-budget-blueprint-trump-tax-cuts-ff2bddf31f4e7cb0928139072392a091\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">unveiled a budget outline last month<\/a> that would raise the debt limit by $4 trillion and approve more than $4 trillion in tax cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It is not clear how many Senate Republicans would support such a measure to lift the borrowing cap or if they would require the backing of some Democrats.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The United States could run out of cash to continue paying its bills by mid-July if Congress does not take action to raise or suspend the nation\u2019s debt limit, according to an analysis on Monday by the Bipartisan Policy Center. That deadline, known as the \u201cX-date\u201d \u2014 the moment when the United States is unable [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1016,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[491,685,351,686,684,581],"class_list":["post-1015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-analysis","tag-cash","tag-finds","tag-july","tag-run","tag-u-s"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1015"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1015\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1016"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.insuracarelife.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}